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The sector demand picture · A sample

Aerospace: a sample sector demand picture

What an employer-led aerospace sector intermediary would publish each year: the roles the industry is hiring for, the skills and credentials that carry weight, and the strategies that would clear the barriers holding the talent pipeline back. One document, refreshed annually, and every institution in the state – K-12 CTE programs and skills centers, community and technical colleges, apprenticeship programs, and workforce boards – has the opportunity to work from the same signal.

Published by the aerospace sector intermediary Refreshed annually Focus cluster aerospace technicians Every figure illustrative
What this is

One document an industry publishes, and the state acts on

A sector demand picture is one document an industry publishes and the state acts on. Published once a year by the industry’s employer-led sector intermediary, it says what the sector needs from the state’s talent system – the roles it is hiring for, the skills and credentials that carry weight, and the strategies it stands behind – and the state acts on the strategies it recommends. Every institution in the state works from the same signal in place of dozens of separate employer surveys, advisory conversations, and data purchases.

How the information flows

Employers across the sector

Answer the questions only employers can – which competencies matter, which credentials count in hiring, where the barriers are – through a structured survey and engagement process a year.

The state’s data team

Supplies employment, wage, and completions data the state already holds, plus the document template and survey tools every sector can use.

Education and training institutions

Districts, skills centers, and colleges build pathways against the sector’s actual hiring and point to the picture to demonstrate demand for new programs. Faculty use the skills employers rate most important to inform what their programs teach. Advisory committees start from the picture and localize it.

Employers

Employers can write job postings in the picture’s skill and credential terms, so what they ask for in hiring matches what programs teach. The sector also endorses programs that teach to the picture – a public signal to employers, students, and families that a program’s graduates are ready to hire.

The state

State agencies can point incentive funding at programs that teach to the picture and hold the sector’s endorsement. They can also fund the strategies employers have prioritized – directing public dollars toward programs with a higher likelihood of jobs waiting for students on the other side.

What is different when this picture exists and is used

  • A college opens a program knowing employers will hire from it – and demonstrates demand by pointing to the picture, in place of assembling letters of support one employer at a time.
  • Faculty teach to the competencies employers value – and avoid buying equipment for skills employers teach on the job.
  • A student anywhere in the state can see which programs lead to real jobs – which ones the industry endorses, where the openings are, and what the jobs pay.
  • An employer explains its needs once a year, in one document – rather than at every advisory table it is asked to join.
  • Job postings can align to what programs actually teach – and experience screens that keep out qualified graduates come down.
  • State incentive funding rewards programs that address the needs employers identified – helping ensure public dollars go to programs and initiatives with jobs waiting for students on the other side.
Detail: How this picture gets developed

The picture is employer-generated and state-supported. Employers answer the questions only they can – which competencies matter, which credentials count in hiring, where the barriers are. The state supplies the data, the document template, and the survey tools, so no sector has to invent a method of its own and every sector's picture reads the same way.

01

The state's data partners supply the baseline and the tools

A small state data team – drawing on the state's labor market data unit for occupational projections and wages, and on its education data center's longitudinal records for program completions and earnings – compiles the baseline for each sector from data the state already holds, with a single labor market data license in place of dozens of local purchases. The team also supplies the template for this document, the survey instruments every sector uses, and support to structure and run the employer panels.

02

The sector intermediary chooses a competency model to build from

Rather than starting from scratch, the intermediary identifies the strongest existing model for its industry and brings it to its employers as a starting point. Here that is the Ohio Manufacturers' Association manufacturing and aerospace-and-defense repositories, which already carry the tiered structure and rated statements the sector would otherwise spend a year writing – with the state's K-12 aerospace curriculum as the companion already in place.

03

Employers rate the competencies, then meet to review the results

A structured survey goes to employers across the sector – large and small, airframer, prime, supplier, and MRO – asking them to rate each statement: how critical it is at each level, and whether it should be learned in the classroom or on the job. An employer panel then meets to review the results together and add the commentary a survey cannot capture. Employer time goes to the strategic discussion; the authoring is already done.

04

Barriers and strategies come from employers individually and together

The intermediary identifies barriers and strategies with the employer panel and through the conversations it is already having with employers in other settings – site visits, its own board and committee meetings, and the regional industry roundtables that workforce boards and colleges convene locally.

05

A separate working group designs each strategy

The intermediary convenes a dedicated group for each strategy – the companies willing to act, together with the institutions and agencies whose systems the strategy touches – rather than settling them all at the same table that reviews competencies.

06

What gets refreshed, and when

The data and the hiring ranges are refreshed annually. The competency model and the strategies are revisited every two years, with progress reports in between on what was funded, what was built, and how many people came through. Every edition is dated, so a reader always knows how current the numbers are.

Detail: How this picture gets used

One picture, several standing uses. Each audience acts on the same signal instead of commissioning its own.

01

Pathway planning

Anyone building a pathway – a high school CTE program, a skills center program, a technical college certificate, a community college degree – can see which occupations the sector is actually hiring for, at what wage, in their own region, and build or retire pathways against that rather than against a statewide average.

Instead of today

Today a program is built against a statewide average, a general projection, or whatever employer relationships an institution happens to have.

02

Program proposals and expansion

Any institution proposing a new program – a district adding a CTE course, a college adding a certificate or degree – can demonstrate demand by pointing to this picture, in place of assembling individual employer letters of support for every proposal. It can also check part 02 to see how many openings and how many graduates its own region has. Approval decisions stay with the bodies that make them today; the picture makes the demand case once.

Instead of today

Today every proposal assembles its own letters of support, one employer at a time, and none of that evidence is reusable by the next program.

03

Advisory committee agendas

Every advisory committee – CTE program advisory committees, college program committees, apprenticeship committees – starts from this picture and localizes it, rather than re-deriving demand from scratch at each table. Employer time at those meetings shifts from confirming what the data already says to answering what only they can, and a regional committee can serve several programs at once from the same picture.

Instead of today

Today each committee re-derives demand from scratch, and employer time goes to confirming what the data already says.

04

Curriculum and equipment decisions

Teachers and faculty at every level map the competency framework in part 03 against courses and lab time to find gaps and redundancies – and the "what employers take on themselves" list tells them what not to buy.

Instead of today

Today faculty decide what to teach from job postings and input from the local employers they happen to know – rather than employers representative of the sector – and buy equipment employers would have trained on anyway.

05

Credit for prior learning

Competencies marked on the job in part 03 give an experienced technician a documented basis for credit toward a credential – so someone who has done the work for six years does not start at zero.

Instead of today

The state already has a statewide academic credit for prior learning policy. What is missing is an industry-validated list of competencies to assess against, so each college builds its own basis for judging experience.

06

Job postings and hiring screens

Employers write job postings in the picture's own competency and credential terms, so what they ask for in hiring matches what programs teach to – and screens that keep out qualified graduates can be identified and removed.

Instead of today

Today postings ask for credentials and years of experience that match neither the job nor what programs teach.

07

Sector endorsement decisions

The sector intermediary uses the picture to decide whether to endorse a program (for instance, does the curriculum teach to the competencies in part 03, do completers hold the credentials in part 04?). A program that meets those tests earns the sector's endorsement – which tells employers hire from here and tells students and families the program leads to real jobs. Approval authority stays where it is today – with the colleges and their state board, with school districts and the K-12 agency, and with the apprenticeship council; the endorsement is the employers' signal, layered on top.

Instead of today

Today there is no industry-wide signal – endorsement is informal, and it depends on which employers a program happens to know.

08

State funding decisions

The state points whatever incentive funding it already controls – program start-up dollars, equipment grants, enrollment incentives – at programs that teach to the competencies in part 03 and hold the sector's endorsement, so an institution that aligns to the picture gets something concrete for doing it. Separately, a dedicated fund backs the strategies in part 05, so the priorities employers named have a standing source of money rather than waiting for an unrelated grant cycle to come around.

Instead of today

Today funding follows enrollment, grant cycles, and institutional proposals rather than a list the industry itself prioritized.

Part 01 – Sector overview Illustrative data

What the aerospace sector is hiring for

The sample state holds a deep aerospace supply chain – more than 1,500 suppliers and vendors alongside Company A's final-assembly plants in the Northern and Capital regions and a fast-growing space cluster. The occupations below span the sector; the highlighted rows share a common technical base, and this edition follows that aerospace technician cluster through the rest of the picture. Engineering roles matter to the sector but are degree-gated and nationally recruited; the technician cluster is where the state's own pipeline can move fastest.

OccupationCluster Total jobsGrowth Annual openingsMedian wage Typical entry credential
Integration & test techniciansAerospace technician3,900+12%310$76,000Certificate or AAS
Aerospace assemblers – structures & systemsAerospace technician8,200+9%640$62,000Certificate
Avionics & electronics techniciansAerospace technician2,600+13%205$79,000Certificate or AAS
Precision machinists – CNCAerospace technician3,400+8%240$68,000Certificate
Quality & NDT inspectorsAerospace technician1,500+11%115$73,000Certificate + industry cert
Composite fabrication techniciansAerospace technician2,100+14%165$61,000Certificate
Aircraft mechanics & service technicians (A&P)Maintenance & repair2,900+10%220$82,000FAA A&P certificate
Aerospace engineering technologistsEngineering support1,300+9%95$83,000AAS
Welders – aerospace fabricationAerospace technician900+3%70$59,000Certificate
Calibration & metrology techniciansQuality400+6%28$70,000Certificate or AAS
Production support & kitting associatesProduction support3,300+1%470$43,000High school diploma
Warehouse & shipping techniciansProduction support4,100−3%540$45,000High school diploma
Machine operators – conventionalProduction support2,200−7%180$49,000High school diploma
Technical writers – aerospace documentationEngineering support700+2%48$80,000Bachelor's
Program & contract administratorsBusiness operations3,600+7%300$94,000Bachelor's
Aerospace engineersEngineering21,000+7%1,350$134,000Bachelor's
Software engineers – avionics & space systemsEngineering12,500+14%1,050$139,000Bachelor's

Click any column heading to sort – largest to smallest for numbers, alphabetical for text; click again to reverse. Occupations are real; every figure is invented for illustration. A real edition would draw the baseline from ESD's occupational projections and wage estimates.

Growth and wages across the sector
Every occupation from the table above. Bubble size reflects annual openings; the dashed line marks a $60,000 family-sustaining wage.
The technician cluster sits in the upper-right quadrant – growing, and paying above a family-sustaining wage, without requiring a bachelor's degree. Engineering roles pay more but are degree-gated; production support roles are accessible but flat or shrinking and below the wage line. Figures are invented for illustration.
Showing

The five highlighted occupations – the roles this edition follows through the rest of the picture.

19,600
Workers employed in the aerospace technician cluster
1,510
Annual openings statewide, before employer corrections
640
Annual completions from the state's programs that feed these roles
870+
Openings per year with no in-state graduate to fill them

All four figures are invented for illustration.

Employer-reported demand signals Illustrative data

What employers report directly – how hard roles are to fill today, the hiring they expect next, and the retirement wave already visible on their rosters. These measures come through the annual sector survey rather than being reconstructed from lagging data, and every institution reads the same numbers.

11
Median weeks to fill a technician opening
22%
Technician postings still unfilled after 90 days
3,100
Technician hires employers anticipate over the next 24 months
27%
Share of the technician workforce aged 55 or older

Employer-reported through the sector survey. All four figures are invented for illustration.

What employers say
What the numbers cannot show, added by employers
  • The technician roles are where the state can actually move. Engineering openings are filled through national recruiting; technician roles are filled locally or not at all.
  • Production support work is being absorbed, not eliminated. Kitting and warehouse roles are shrinking as automation takes them, and the people in them are the most natural candidates to train into technician work.
  • Composites belong in the cluster conversation. With the 787 and 777X built on carbon fiber and two composite materials plants in the state, employers describe composite technician demand growing faster than the projections register.
  • One role is missing from public data entirely. Employers describe a hybrid assembly-and-test job that has emerged as production shifts to more integrated work cells and does not yet have its own classification.
Part 02 – Demand and supply Illustrative data

Where the jobs are, and who is training for them

Demand and supply for the aerospace technician cluster, statewide and by each of the state's twelve workforce development areas. Using the same geography its local workforce development boards already operate in means every board, college, skills center, and employer can find its own market rather than read a statewide average – and can act on it with the partners it already convenes. Select an area to see the same measures for that part of the state. Aerospace employment is heavily concentrated in the Northern, Capital, and Southern regions, and technicians move between areas once trained, so the last measure shows where training capacity sits relative to demand rather than where people end up working.

Region
19,600
Technicians employed
1,510
Annual job openings
750
Annual program completions
50%
Local completions as a share of local openings

Statewide, thirteen college and skills center programs, one employer-run apprenticeship, and one nonprofit apprenticeship intermediary produce about 750 technicians a year against roughly 1,510 annual openings. The rest is recruited from out of state, hired away from another in-state employer, or left open.

All twelve workforce development areas, as served by the state's local workforce development boards.

Completions by program
Annual completions, all fifteen programs feeding the cluster
College and skills centerEmployer-runPrivate and nonprofit
Openings by employer
Annual openings by employer, statewide

The state, its regions, and all company and institution names in this sample are fictional (Company A, College B). Every figure is invented for illustration.

What employers say
What the numbers cannot show, added by employers
  • The work itself is changing shape. Rate increases on the 737 and 777X and the growth of the space cluster move demand toward assembly, integration, and test roles faster than the projections register.
  • Openings are undercounted. Roles are filled by internal transfer before they are ever posted, and repeat-fill requisitions hide churn in assembly and test.
  • Suppliers lose people to Company A and the space primes. Small shops report losing machinists faster than they can train replacements, which is why supplier openings recur year after year.
  • "Entry level" is no longer entry level. Postings ask for two to four years of experience because programs do not yet teach to the competencies in part 03 – so employers protect themselves with experience screens.
Part 03 – The skills Illustrative data

The competency framework employers stand behind

The competencies below are for the aerospace technician cluster. They start from a real national base – the Ohio Manufacturers' Association manufacturing competency model, which includes six building blocks running from personal effectiveness to occupation-specific skills. The two tiers institutions build curriculum against – Manufacturing and Industry-Specific – are shown below. In this sample, the sample sector's employers reviewed, validated, and adjusted every statement and rating for aerospace work in their state, and indicated they would hire from programs that teach these competencies. Programs that align to it can earn the sector's endorsement – described under how it gets developed and used.

Personal effectiveness
Academic
Workplace
Manufacturing
Industry-specific · Aerospace & defense
Occupation or employer-specific
Taught by the employer after hire
Relevant to the specific industry  ·  in the repository
Fundamental to the sector generally  ·  in the repository
Needed to succeed in the workplace
Learned in educational settings
Required to succeed as an individual

The six building blocks of the OMA manufacturing competency model. The bottom three tiers are foundational; the top three are sector-specific. The two tiers institutions build curriculum against – manufacturing and aerospace & defense – are held in the competency repository below, and the top tier stays with employers, taught after hire. In this sample state, the K-12 end of the pipeline already has a companion: a statewide aerospace curriculum, the industry-developed high school curriculum offered at more than 50 high schools and skills centers, maps onto the foundational and manufacturing tiers.

The competency repository

These are the competencies the sector's employers expect programs to teach. Open either tier to read every statement, how critical employers rate it, and whether they expect it to be learned in the classroom or on the job.

What employers take on themselves Illustrative data

These are the skills employers train for themselves, after hire, and do not expect programs to cover or buy equipment for. The commitments below are illustrative.

01

Export-control and ITAR compliance

Employers train their own export-control procedures during onboarding. Programs teach that controlled environments exist and what professional discipline they demand; no program is expected to administer ITAR training.

02

Production-line and flight-specific equipment

Employers train on their own automated assembly cells, autoclaves, and test rigs after hire. Programs teach assembly, composite, and test fundamentals through coursework and lab work; no program is expected to buy a wing-line's worth of tooling.

03

Company-specific systems and processes

Employers teach their own manufacturing execution systems, drawing systems, and release processes. Programs cover the concepts once; the employer supplies the particulars.

What employers say
On skills, credentials, and what graduates arrive without
  • The gap is judgment, not knowledge. Graduates know the standards; what they lack is the instinct to stop a job or reject a part when something is out of spec under schedule pressure.
  • Foreign-object-debris and clean-room discipline cannot be taught in a lecture. Employers rate it critical for new hires and expect it to be practiced in a program, not described in one.
  • AI-assisted inspection raised the bar rather than lowering it. The scarce skill is now knowing when the algorithm is wrong and overriding it before a part moves down the line.
Part 04 – Credentials of value Illustrative data

The credentials that carry weight in hiring

Which credentials employers actually use in hiring for the technician cluster – and where each carries the most weight. All credential names are real; the value ratings are the employer panel's, invented here for illustration.

CredentialWhat it certifiesAirframers & space primesSuppliers & machine shopsMRO & flight test
IPC J-STD-001Soldering to a certifiable aerospace standardRequiredStrongUseful
IPC-A-610Acceptability of electronic assembliesStrongStrongUseful
FAA Airframe & Powerplant (A&P) certificateFederal license to maintain and return aircraft to serviceUsefulRequired
NIMS machining Level IPrecision machining fundamentalsUsefulRequired
ASNT NDT Level IINondestructive testing methodsStrongStrongUseful
AWS D17.1 aerospace welding certificationFusion welding for aerospace applicationsUsefulStrong

Ratings are invented for illustration; the credentials themselves are real.

What employers say
On credentials and degree requirements
  • A four-year degree is not on this list for technician roles. It is not the screen employers actually use, and several panel employers report removing degree requirements from technician postings after reviewing this table.
  • IPC J-STD-001 is the credential that decides interviews for electronics roles. A candidate who holds it can be put on flight hardware within weeks rather than a year.
  • Value varies by where you work. A credential that is required at an airframer may only be useful at a machine shop, and the reverse is true for machining credentials – so the table is read by column, not by row.
  • Short certificates count when they are aligned. Employers hire from 12-week certificate programs and from the state's K-12 aerospace curriculum completers because those programs teach to the competencies in part 03 – the alignment, more than the length, is what they trust.
Part 05 – Strategies Illustrative data

Where the pipeline is stuck, and what would unstick it

These are the barriers that choke off the supply of new talent into the aerospace technician cluster – each one a specific reason people never enter the pipeline, stall inside it, or leave it. This is the sector's prioritized list – each barrier paired with the strategy that would clear it, who acts, and what the industry's employers commit alongside. The barriers and commitments below are invented to illustrate what a real list would contain.

01

"Entry-level" postings require two to four years of experience

Because programs haven't taught to the competencies in part 03, employers protect themselves with experience requirements – which shuts out new graduates and leaves every employer competing for the same small pool of experienced workers.

The strategy: rewrite technician postings against the competency framework, accepting completion of an endorsed program in place of years-of-experience screens. Who acts: employer HR teams, with the sector intermediary supplying model posting language. Employers commit: panel employers adopt the language within one hiring cycle.

02

Programs are full where demand is highest

Assembly, composites, and machining sections run full with waitlists in the Northern and Capital regions, and evening sections are scarce for working adults. The missing equipment is composite layup benches and CNC seats – which cost far less than people assume aerospace training requires, but which no funding stream currently covers.

The strategy: targeted capacity funding at the programs in the regional view in part 02 – instructor lines, evening sections, and lab buildout – tied to endorsement alignment. Who acts: the state funds; colleges and skills centers deliver. Employers commit: loaned instructors for evening sections and equipment donations from production surplus.

03

Small suppliers cannot train alone

Company A and the space primes can run their own academies; a 40-person machine shop cannot spare its best machinist to mentor, and loses trained people to the primes before the training investment pays off. Suppliers are where the pipeline leaks worst – and where new capacity costs least to add. The state already has the vehicle: multi-employer registered apprenticeship, in which more than 250 manufacturers already participate through the Aerospace Joint Apprenticeship Committee, with related instruction delivered by community and technical colleges.

The strategy: expand the multi-employer earn-and-learn model for the technician cluster – apprentices employed and paid from day one, a pooled mentor bench, rotations across member shops so a small supplier can host without offering every station, and portable credentials so supplier-trained technicians are an asset to the whole sector instead of a poaching target. Who acts: the sector intermediary recruits hosts and sets the standard with the apprenticeship committee; the state funds slots and related instruction. Employers commit: primes contribute mentor hours; suppliers host rotations; every panel employer pays apprentice wages and exam fees.

04

Security clearances slow hiring for the fastest-growing roles

Defense work and the national-security side of the space cluster require US citizenship and, increasingly, an active security clearance. A clearance takes longer to come through than most of the state's training takes to complete – a 12-week certificate, or even an 18-month apprenticeship, finishes while the paperwork is still moving. Graduates wait months while positions sit open, and employers pay a large premium for the small pool of technicians who already hold one.

The strategy: start clearance sponsorship at program enrollment for committed hires, and fund a statewide clearance-preparation service so first-generation candidates aren't screened out by paperwork. Who acts: employers sponsor; the state funds preparation support. Employers commit: sponsorship slots and conditional offers at enrollment.

05

Students do not know these careers exist – or picture the last layoff

Students hear "aerospace" and picture an engineering degree, an assembly line their parents were laid off from, or nothing. Few know that a certificate and eighteen months of paid training can lead to a $70,000 job building airplanes or spacecraft – so few students ever set out toward these jobs in the first place.

The strategy: a sector-run career campaign built on this picture's numbers, plus pathway mapping so every district and skills center can see which courses – the state's K-12 aerospace curriculum among them – feed the cluster. Who acts: the sector intermediary with districts, skills centers, and the K-12 agency's CTE office. Employers commit: facility tours, teacher externships, and first-interview guarantees for CTE completers.

What employers say
On why these barriers persist
  • No single employer can fix any of these alone. Every item on the list requires either the state or a group of competitors acting together, which is why they have gone unaddressed.
  • Clearance timing decides who gets hired. A cleared technician can start in days and an uncleared one in months, so sponsorship timing matters more to a defense-side employer than program quality does.
  • Small suppliers want to host apprentices but cannot afford to. A 40-person shop loses production every hour its best machinist spends training someone.
  • Students do not know these jobs exist. Employers report that career awareness, not program capacity, is the first place the pipeline runs dry.

One sector, one picture, refreshed every year – and every institution works from the same signal.

This sample shows aerospace. The same structure – roles, skills, credentials, and the strategies the industry stands behind – would be published by an employer-led sector intermediary in each of a state's priority sectors.